Contributor
There will be no flying Elvis
on Wes Welker’s helmet this season, and he won’t be catching passes from his
buddy Tom Brady. Naturally people were upset when one of the most popular
athletes in New England for the last decade departed this past offseason for
Denver. The Patriots are notorious for going to battle with players over
contracts, so did anyone not see this coming? Belichick has NEVER been afraid
to make the unpopular and shrewd business move. He is simply doing what he feels
is in the best interest of his football team. Belichick himself will be the
first to say that he is not easy to play for, but anyone who thinks Welker
leaving town wasn’t strictly business is misinformed. Just look at recent
contract situations of the past ten years. Deion Branch anyone? Richard
Seymour? Adam Vinatieri? Logan Mankins? The list goes on and on. Bill has never
strayed from his philosophy and never will. There is no player greater than the
interests of the team as a whole, and is a chief reason why the Patriots have
been the most successful franchise in all of professional sports the last
decade. Welker over played his hand and
didn’t realize what the market for an aging slot receiver (32) is in the NFL
these days. You can blame his agents, you can blame the Patriots, you can blame
Wes himself; bottom-line the Patriots knew the market and weren’t going to make
an exception because they never have, and never will. Fans get so emotionally
invested in players and forget that the NFL is not a what have you done for me
in the past league but what have you done for me lately and what can you do for
me in the future. You don’t pay someone on their prior accomplishments; if you
start doing that you will end up like the Oakland Raiders or Washington
Redskins, two teams perpetually in said “cap-jail”. The Patriots mastery of the
salary cap is what lets them compete for a Super Bowl year in and year out. If
the Patriots had gotten emotionally involved in negotiations with Welker they
would’ve made the same mistake as a team they share a state and fan base with.
The Red Sox dug themselves a great hole over the years consistently re-signing
players on past merits and accomplishments (i.e. Mike Lowell) The best way to
stay relevant in today’s NFL and professional sports in general is to consistently
adapt and change. From a purely football perspective you could make the
argument that after 6 years the Patriots had to take away Brady’s security
blanket. The offense had become too predictable. It’s one thing to target a
receiver of Calvin Johnson’s size and ability 174 times, but Welker? That’s
insanity and it had become the norm here in New England. He was Tom Brady’s binky;
the Patriots have always been at their best when throwing to the open receiver
or in football terms the best matchup. Anyone who thinks Welker was the best
matchup 174 times doesn’t understand the X’s & O’s like they should. It’s
great to have a security blanket like Welker over the middle, but he should
never be the number 1 option. Not trying to take anything away from Welker because
he was the ultimate warrior, but he simply isn’t irreplaceable. Over the last 6
seasons the Patriots have been a finesse offense, meaning they pass to set up
the run. They have never had a dominant rushing attack; even last season’s
stats were completely misleading. They may have lead the league in rushing
attempts, but how many of those were them just rushing up to the line and
hoping they were going to catch the other team’s sub-defense out of position?
Their ability to gain large chunks was mainly other teams consistently putting extra
defensive backs on the field to defend their lethal passing attack. Other teams
almost exclusively played the Patriots in a sub-defense in that it was the only
way to match up with Aaron Hernandez, Rob Gronkowski, and Welker. When the
Patriots really needed to run the ball to close out a game or get that tough
yard they struggled mightily, especially without the blocking prowess of
Gronkowski late in the season. As the season wore on due to injuries, and
simply facing better opponents it became “where’s Welker?” When it came to
playing the Ravens, a vast superior opponent to the ones they beat up on the
ground in many a blowout, the Patriots fizzled. The offensive line has been
built to mimic NFL trends in that they have big, long athletic tackles, and a
stable interior that’s great in pass protection. The only lineman you could
make an argument for being a great run blocker is Mankins, and he has been a
shell of himself with various injuries over the past few seasons. Don’t get me
wrong, they are one of the best units in the league, but by no means a superior
run blocking group. So with contract battles, injuries, tragedies, and the ever
changing NFL; what can we really expect from the Patriots offense this season?
Well you can expect them to change on the fly and evolve with the players they
have. Welker isn’t walking through that door, neither is Hernandez. It will be
a while before Gronkowski is anywhere near the shape he needs to be in. So you
take Danny Amendola, Julian Edelman, Aaron Dobson, Kenbrell Thompkins, and
adapt. The ground game looks to build on last season’s improvement with a
healthy stable of young and exciting backs. Ridley looks to take that next
step, while Vereen brings far more to the table than Woodhead ever did. The
comparisons of Welker and Amendola are fair and unfair. You can compare age,
injury history, and familiarity within the system but in the end remember it
was business. Brady is going to love Amendola who has more size and speed than
Welker. Everyone can point to his injury history, but in my experience almost
everything boils down to injuries and how you manage them. This offense doesn’t contain the same stars of
the past, but could be every bit as explosive and far more versatile. With
Belichick, Josh McDaniels, and Brady at the helm, I’m still far more concerned
with the defensive side of the ball. Expect struggles out of the gate with this
young group, but the evolution of the offense will continue and look for
continued success without those household names you have grown so accustomed
to.